The last five days have brought significant shifts in the crypto landscape, from regulatory changes to institutional adoption, marking a pivotal moment for the industry. All while altcoins continue to consolidate.

Bitcoin Reserve Feasibility Under Review

David Sacks, a key figure in President Trump’s digital assets working group, revealed on Tuesday that one of the administration’s top priorities is evaluating the feasibility of a Bitcoin reserve. Trump has asked his team to study whether the U.S. should establish a Bitcoin reserve or digital asset stockpile. While no commitments have been made yet, this marks a major step in governmental recognition of Bitcoin’s potential role in national reserves.

SEC Takes a Pro-Crypto Turn

In a major regulatory shift, the SEC announced a new approach to digital asset regulation, opening the door to discussions with industry stakeholders. Under the leadership of SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, the newly established Crypto Task Force aims to create transparent and predictable regulations. Key priorities include:

• Clarifying which crypto assets fall under securities laws.

• Establishing a clear path for token issuers to gain regulatory approval.

• Addressing compliance measures without stifling innovation.

• Examining regulations around crypto lending, staking, and exchange-traded products.

This is a stark contrast from former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s restrictive policies and signals a more open and constructive regulatory environment.

Czech Republic Eliminates Crypto Capital Gains Tax

In a landmark decision, Czech President Petr Pavel signed a bill eliminating capital gains taxes on crypto holdings held for more than three years. The bill, which was unanimously approved by the country’s parliament in December, further solidifies the nation’s progressive stance on digital assets. I bring this up because this might be a hint of what we see here in the U.S. and in other major countries.

Let the crypto race begin.

Trump Media & Technology Group Moves Toward Bitcoin ETF

President Trump’s media company, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), has begun laying the groundwork for launching a Bitcoin ETF. The company has applied for trademarks for three ETFs under the Truth.Fi brand:

• Truth.Fi Bitcoin Plus ETF

• Truth.Fi Made in America ETF

• Truth.Fi Energy Independence ETF

This development underscores Trump’s increasing alignment with the crypto industry and suggests that crypto-related financial products could gain more traction under his administration.

Ethereum Eyes $3,700 Amid Institutional Demand

Ethereum is positioning itself for a potential rebound, driven by increasing institutional investment and ETF anticipation. Recent data shows:

• BlackRock has invested over $250 million in Ethereum.

• Ethereum Whale holdings have surged from $285.81 billion to $313.5 billion in just three days.

• ETH must break $3,000 to target $3,700, with key support at $2,600.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to hold above $96,000, with dominance rising in the crypto market. As Ethereum regains strength, all eyes are on the potential approval of an ETH ETF and the role institutional adoption will play in shaping its price trajectory.

This Ethereum data alone can be a signal to watch for any altcoin that crypto holders may hold.

Final Thoughts: A Defining Moment for Crypto

Between regulatory shifts, institutional moves, and Bitcoin’s rising dominance, the crypto space is at a defining moment. While short-term volatility remains, the long-term trajectory for digital assets has never been clearer. With the SEC signaling openness, national governments considering Bitcoin reserves, and major financial institutions doubling down on Ethereum, 2025 is shaping up to be a historic year for the market.

The next few months could be pivotal.

Subscribe for more updates.

In this video, I break down my personal crypto strategy for the upcoming bull market, focusing on three key plays: Cardano (ADA), Dog (DOG), and Ski Mask Dog (SKI). This isn’t financial advice—it’s my journey, my research, and how I’m positioning myself for what could be an explosive 2025.

🔍 Why These 3 Cryptos?

• Cardano (ADA): My largest altcoin holding. After years of being the underdog, ADA’s setup for the next cycle looks stronger than ever. I explain why I believe ADA is ready to break out.

• Dog (DOG): Not your typical meme coin. DOG is positioned as Bitcoin's version of Dogecoin with massive potential, especially as Bitcoin's DeFi ecosystem grows.

• Ski Mask Dog (SKI): A high-risk, high-reward meme coin with strong community backing and early-stage upside potential. I dive into why SKI could surprise a lot of people.

📈 My Portfolio Game Plan

I’m focused on a balanced strategy:

• ADA for stability and long-term growth.

• DOG and SKI for aggressive upside in a potential meme coin super cycle.

• A stronger approach to taking profits into USD and BTC this cycle.

⚠️ Risk & Volatility

Crypto is volatile, especially with smaller market cap tokens. I’m sharing this strategy to give insight into my thought process, not to hype or shill these projects. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Thanks for watching and reading. God Bless!

The crypto space is entering uncharted territory, and with it, a need to recalibrate how we view Bitcoin's long-term trajectory. In this video, I share my journey as a Bitcoin analyst, adjusting my perspective in light of groundbreaking macroeconomic shifts, the approval of the Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, and Bitcoin's emergence as a mainstream global narrative.

This discussion introduces the Bitcoin Scarcity Recalibration Model—a framework I'm building to reflect this new era. From Bitcoin flipping gold’s market cap at $900,000 to a potential hyper-bitcoinization catalyst at $500,000 and beyond, we explore how Bitcoin’s scarcity and adoption could drive its value into exponential zones.

I also discuss the critical concept of the ceiling-to-floor flip, where Bitcoin’s historical upper trendline may transform into its foundation for future cycles. Whether it happens this cycle or the next, the trajectory of Bitcoin is changing, and this recalibration aims to capture that evolution.

Watch the video to dive into these ideas and let me know your thoughts as we chart this journey together. If you’re a Substack subscriber, thank you for being part of this early release! 🚀

The last week has been a rollercoaster, but let me tell you something – what’s happening right now in crypto is absolutely insane. I’ve been tracking this for years, and if you’re a Bitcoin or altcoin holder, urgency is the name of the game right now. Let’s break this all down simply, so you know exactly where we are and where things are heading.

Bitcoin: The Boss Has Been Defeated

Bitcoin’s trajectory is next-level crazy. Remember when $100,000 Bitcoin seemed impossible? That resistance has been crushed. Now we’re talking about a million-dollar Bitcoin. Yeah, you read that right. Here’s what’s fueling the fire:

• BlackRock recommends a 2% Bitcoin allocation. With $900 trillion in global assets, a 2% slice would mean an $18T market cap for BTC – roughly $900k per coin.

• Eric Trump says he’s confident Bitcoin hits $1M. And Trump Sr. himself is coming in as the most pro-Bitcoin president we’ve ever seen.

• Bitcoin supply shock is real: governments are stepping in, potentially scooping up 200,000 BTC per year. Scarcity is becoming undeniable.

Short-term, Bitcoin is testing lower trendlines. Targets into the mid-80s are in play as we consolidate – totally normal in a bull market. Zoom out, though: we’re still just at the beginning. The real move is still ahead.

Altcoin Season: We’re Right on Track

If you’ve been watching Bitcoin dominance, you know exactly what’s happening. We are at the trigger point for altcoin season, just like in past cycles. Let’s connect the dots:

1. Bitcoin dominance is in a confirmed downtrend. Even in downtrends, you get pullbacks to the upside. This one? It’s normal. The stage is set.

2. Timing aligns perfectly: Last cycle, Bitcoin dominance fell into altcoin season about 237 days post-halving. This cycle? We’re right on track, just over 200 days in.

3. Volatility is normal. Red daily candles? They’re part of the process. Look at the dips during previous bull markets: massive gains come with massive dips.

The next 6-12 months are everything. If you’re feeling impatient, zoom out. The data doesn’t lie: altcoins are in the early stages of their run.

Top Altcoins: ADA and DOG (on Bitcoin)

Cardano (ADA): Bull Market Doors Are Opening

Here’s the setup for ADA:

• ADA is testing the upper range of its bull market doors. Last cycle, breaking this range led to an explosive breakout.

• Whale activity is surging: 687 transactions over $1M in a recent 24 hour period. Whales aren’t just accumulating – they’re preparing.

• Timing aligns: Similar price action, RSI consolidation, and bullish momentum mirrors the exact setup from 2018’s bull run breakout.

  

My eyes are on that $1.25-$1.30 breakout area. If ADA explodes through, $3 is in play faster than most people think. Maybe end of January? We’ll see, but the pieces are aligning.

DOG (on Bitcoin): The Meme That Matters

DOG on Bitcoin is a sleeper pick, but here’s why I’m excited:

• It’s not just another meme. DOG taps into Bitcoin’s base layer innovation with Runes, making it a standout.

• Cycles are repeating. DOG’s positioning right now mirrors other explosive meme coins from past cycles. The setup is there.

DOG is flying under the radar, but that’s where opportunities are born. Don’t sleep on this one.

Closing Thoughts: The Opportunity of a Lifetime

The Bitcoin chart structure, the altcoin season trigger, and the sheer macro fundamentals (hello, pro-Bitcoin administration and global supply shock) tell us one thing: this bull market is only just getting started.

Whether it’s Bitcoin breaking $120k next, ADA exploding past $1.30, or DOG becoming the meme of the cycle, patience and preparation are key. The next 6-12 months could change everything, and I’m going to keep tracking every move so you’re ready.

If you haven’t already, hit that subscribe and turn on notifications – because this journey is just beginning.

God bless!

Key Reminders:

• Volatility is normal in bull markets. Dips = opportunity.

• Whales are accumulating altcoins while retail shakes out. Don’t let them win.

• Zoom out and keep your eyes on the data. History is repeating.

If you enjoyed this, hit the like button, share it, and let me know your thoughts. Let’s get ready for what’s coming.

1. A Pro-Crypto Administration

Let’s start with a simple question:
Who was the pro-crypto president last cycle talking about making the U.S. the crypto capital of the world?
The answer? There wasn’t one.

This cycle, we’re witnessing unprecedented momentum in Washington. With the Bitcoin Act on the table and discussions around the U.S. holding Bitcoin as a reserve asset, it’s clear that the narrative has shifted. This isn't just rhetoric—it's the groundwork for positioning the U.S. as a leader in the global crypto economy.

2. Institutional Embrace Like Never Before

Last cycle, institutional involvement was more speculative. Companies like Tesla made headlines with their Bitcoin purchases, but how many major institutions were openly accumulating and holding crypto assets?
Compare that to now:

• Bitcoin ETFs breaking records.

• Firms like BlackRock signaling their confidence with filings for spot Bitcoin ETFs was just the start.

• Institutions not just buying Bitcoin but expanding into altcoins like ADA and XRP, as whale activity suggests.

This is a step-change in adoption that extends well beyond retail speculation.

3. Record-Breaking ETF Activity

Let’s not forget the WisdomTree Spot XRP ETF filing, a groundbreaking move that highlights how far the industry has come since last cycle. Combine this with multiple spot Bitcoin ETF filings and the buzz around altcoin ETFs, and you have a market that is structurally integrating crypto into mainstream finance.
Ask yourself: What ETFs were even possible last cycle, let alone breaking records?

4. A Bullish Crypto Czar and Bullish SEC Chair

Last cycle, regulatory uncertainty reigned supreme. This time, we’re seeing advocates like Paul Atkins, former SEC commissioner and crypto proponent, in positions of influence. If the Trump administration brings Atkins to the helm, it could mark the beginning of a more favorable regulatory environment for crypto in the U.S. And let’s not forget the new crypto czar, David Sacks.

5. Legislation in Motion

In addition to executive support, we have crypto-friendly legislation making waves. From tax clarity to blockchain integration in traditional systems, the policy landscape is evolving in ways that simply weren’t on the table during previous cycles.

6. Macro Fundamentals Align

The broader economic backdrop also matters:

• Global de-dollarization is creating tailwinds for Bitcoin as an alternative reserve asset.

• Inflation concerns are driving institutional and individual investors toward deflationary assets like Bitcoin.

• The impending halving event is primed to coincide with these macroeconomic shifts, amplifying the supply shock narrative.

Price Context and What’s Next

Let’s tie this back to what we’ve seen on the charts.

• Bitcoin recently broke $100k, with targets still in play for $110k in the short term.

• XRP is up 400% in weeks, ADA following closely with a 300% surge, and we’re just beginning to enter altcoin season, as confirmed by Bitcoin dominance data.

• All of this is happening before the ETFs are approved, legislation is finalized, or the U.S. formally embraces Bitcoin at a state level.

This is why it’s critical to prepare. Bull markets don’t wait—they explode. If you’re not ready, you risk being left behind, twiddling your thumbs as the market runs away from you.

This Time Truly Is Different

So when someone says, “This cycle is the same as last time,” ask them these questions:

• Who was the pro-crypto president last cycle?

• What Bitcoin ETFs were breaking records?

• What institutions were openly accumulating altcoins?

• Who was the bullish crypto czar?

• What president was advocating for a U.S. Bitcoin reserve?

• Who was pushing crypto-friendly legislation?

The answers to these questions will tell you everything you need to know about why this time is different.

Let’s embrace the journey ahead—with all its dips and consolidations—and prepare for the parabolic moves to come.

Stay macro-focused. Stay prepared. Stay bullish.

God bless,
Dan Gambardello

Here’s a quick preview of what’s inside:

• Insights into altcoin and Bitcoin dominance trends.

• My approach to exit strategies for ADA, DOG, and ETH.

• A walkthrough of realistic profit-taking scenarios.

Check It Out 👇

This is just the beginning of how we can navigate this market together. Don't miss out—it's all about being prepared!

Dan

Let's start by briefly looking at the total crypto market cap. I won't dive deep into analysis here—I've covered this extensively in the past—but we’ve been tracking this moment for years.

• Purple Line Altcoin Season:

  • Last cycle’s altcoin season saw Bitcoin dominance start falling.

  • Currently, altcoins are testing the previous all-time high from the last cycle.

  • Historically, after altcoin season begins, Bitcoin dominance declines, and altcoins break previous all-time highs.

This brings us to a key point: the timeframe for all-time highs to bull market peaks, which has ranged from 250 to 300 days in past cycles. While this is not a guaranteed timeline, I’m personally targeting October 2025 as a potential bull market end.

Creating a Plan

The Takeaway: Everyone’s plan will look different.

• Example:

  • Some people are already taking profits after surviving a brutal bear market.

  • This is about creating a visualization exercise for making better exit decisions.

Let’s Dive In:

• For this example, I'll use ADA and DOG as my top coins, along with Ethereum for a general perspective.

ADA Speculative Exit Strategy Demo And Example

Starting Point:

• Assume 100,000 ADA with a speculative high of $5–$10 (realistic) and a potential $500 billion market cap (stretch goal).

Profit-Taking Example:

1. Sell 10,000 ADA at $1.50 = $15,000 (after the bear market, some early profits).

2. Sell another 10,000 ADA at $3.50 = $35,000 (post all-time high).

3. Continue scaling out until $5–$7, leaving a sizable stack for potential parabolic moves.

Outcome:

• Sold $140,000 worth of ADA, keeping 40,000 ADA for potential upside.

• If ADA hits $10, this remaining stack is worth $400,000.

DOG Speculative Exit Strategy Demo And Example

Starting Point:

• Assume 5 million DOG with speculative tier-one listings pushing the market cap to $10–25 billion (realistic) and $70 billion (stretch goal).

Profit-Taking Example:

1. Sell 1 million DOG at $3 billion market cap = $30,000 profit.

2. Sell 1.5 million DOG at $10 billion market cap = $150,000 profit.

3. Hold 1 million DOG for parabolic moves (e.g., $30 billion market cap = $300,000).

Outcome:

• Total profits of $580,000 with 1 million DOG remaining for potential upside.

Ethereum Speculative Exit Strategy Demo And Example

Starting Point:

• Assume 10 ETH, currently at $3,800, with speculative highs of $18,000–$20,000.

Profit-Taking Example:

1. Sell 2 ETH at $6,500 = $13,000 profit.

2. Sell 3 ETH at $10,000 = $30,000 profit.

3. Hold 3 ETH for a potential parabolic move to $20,000 = $60,000 value.

Outcome:

• Total profits of $73,000, keeping 3 ETH for additional upside.

Key Takeaways

1. Flexibility Is Key: Plans should be adaptable to market conditions.

2. Conservative Ranges: Focus on realistic exit points instead of trying to sell at the top.

3. Preparation Is Mental: The exercise itself—thinking through scenarios—is more important than the specific numbers.

The Risks

We might not see a parabolic bull market. Staying mindful of market risks is essential, as there’s no guarantee of upward movement.

Final Thoughts

This is my thought process and approach to exit strategies. I hope it’s helpful as you create your own. Let me know in the comments what your exit plan looks like!

Don’t forget to subscribe and hit the like button if you enjoyed this content.

God bless.

Bitcoin and Cardano—two giants in the blockchain world. Each has carved out its own place with unique philosophies: Bitcoin, the unyielding pioneer of decentralized sound money, and Cardano, a peer-reviewed platform built for innovation and scalability. But what happens when these two worlds collide?

This isn’t just speculation anymore. The lines between these ecosystems are blurring, and the result could be transformative for the entire crypto space. Over the past months, I’ve been sharing my conviction about $DOG on Bitcoin and $ADA on Cardano. Together, they are uniquely positioned to lead us into a new era of crypto adoption. Let me break down why this moment is so pivotal.

$DOG on Bitcoin

The growth of $DOG is nothing short of extraordinary and with a memecoin supercycle in play right now, it’s worth paying attention to . It’s the #1 memecoin on the world’s most secure blockchain—Bitcoin. Unlike so many projects that rely on insiders, paid influencers, or centralized exchanges, $DOG is a truly decentralized and fair memecoin, built to align perfectly with Bitcoin’s ethos.

Bitcoin’s $2 trillion on-chain liquidity provides the perfect foundation for $DOG to thrive. And with tier-1 exchange listings imminent, the broader market is beginning to recognize the fundamental value of this play. This is more than just a memecoin; it’s a signal of where Bitcoin-based innovation is headed. And that is what makes this so important.

We’ve already seen explosive price action, and I believe whales will FOMO in with up to $10 billion, further driving adoption and value. The opportunities here go beyond price speculation. $DOG is helping to redefine what’s possible on Bitcoin without compromising its core principles of decentralization. And that is also what is important.

Why $ADA and Cardano Are Critical

As a long-time Cardano supporter, I’ve always recognized the power of its underlying technology and mission. But now, something truly special is happening. Cardano and Bitcoin are on a collision course, with Ordinals, $DOG, and Runes as a piece of the story here.

Recently, Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, joined a groundbreaking discussion with Leonidas, the founder of $DOG, about how Bitcoin and Cardano can work together to reshape decentralized finance (DeFi) and beyond.

Here’s what makes this collaboration revolutionary:

• Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZK) on Bitcoin: Projects like Bitcoin OS are introducing ZK verification directly on the Bitcoin mainnet, enabling scalable interactions with Cardano’s extended UTXO (eUTXO) system.

• Smart Contracts via Cardano: Unlike Ethereum’s account-based model, Cardano’s eUTXO architecture allows for parallel transactions and off-chain computations, making scalable DeFi applications possible.

• Lace Wallet Integration: Charles mentione on the space that next year Cardano’s official wallet will support Bitcoin, allowing users to seamlessly hold BTC and interact with Cardano-based applications. This is a major step forward for cross-ecosystem utility.

• Bitcoin-Centric DeFi: Imagine using Bitcoin directly in decentralized applications for governance, yield, and stablecoins, without relying on centralized exchanges. This vision is becoming a reality.

• Babel Fees: Cardano’s upcoming feature will allow transaction fees to be paid in Bitcoin, bridging the user experience gap and enabling BTC holders to interact with Cardano smart contracts effortlessly.

A Unique Moment in Crypto

This is why $ADA and $DOG represent two sides of the same coin:

• $ADA drives innovation and scalability.

• $DOG brings decentralization and community-driven adoption to Bitcoin.

Together, they create a narrative that’s impossible to ignore. For months, I’ve faced skepticism for my bullish stance on $DOG, but the results speak for themselves. As altcoin season kicks off, the synergy between Bitcoin and Cardano is becoming undeniable.

This isn’t about tribalism or maximalism. It’s about collaboration over competition—leveraging the strengths of both ecosystems to deliver more value to users.

Charles Hoskinson summed it up perfectly: Cardano isn’t becoming a Bitcoin Layer 2. Instead, it’s a compute and functionality layer that Bitcoin can tap into trustlessly. This allows Bitcoin to explore DeFi, governance, and stablecoins without compromising its decentralized ethos.

Why This Matters

Crypto isn’t just about quick gains. It’s about recognizing macro trends and positioning yourself before the rest of the market catches on. $ADA and $DOG are at the forefront of a new movement—one rooted in decentralization, scalability, and fairness.

If you’re holding $ADA or $DOG, you’re not just holding tokens—you’re holding the keys to the next era of crypto.

The Road Ahead

This is only the beginning. Over the next year, projects like Bitcoin OS will refine these bridges, and tools like the Lace wallet will enhance the user experience. We’re witnessing the start of a crypto renaissance, with Bitcoin and Cardano at the center.

Crypto is entering a new era. Are you ready?

Thanks and God Bless!

Bitcoin Knocking on $100K: What’s Next?

Bitcoin is flirting with its all-time high and looks poised for a major breakout. Historically, this is the moment when things really heat up. Just like in 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin’s current momentum is setting the stage for altcoin season, and the data backs it up:

• 200-Day Post-Halving Patterns: Bitcoin’s price action mirrors what we saw in previous cycles, where massive moves followed a few hundred days after the halving.

• Bullish Fundamentals: With supply shock metrics stronger than ever and institutions stacking sats, Bitcoin’s fundamentals are screaming bullish.

Some are even speculating about a U.S. Bitcoin Reserve becoming a reality under a Trump administration. And as of hours ago, it became even more real as President Trump's crypto advisory council looks set to establish a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve, per Reuters.

If this happens, seven-figure Bitcoin becomes more than just a dream—it becomes a roadmap. Whether or not the legislation passes, the narrative is enough to stoke market excitement.

And just when we thought the crypto world couldn’t get more dramatic, a massive shift in the regulatory landscape has arrived. SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced his resignation, marking the end of his tenure as a key figure in what many considered the “anti-crypto army.” This news comes as a major win for crypto enthusiasts who’ve been advocating for fairer treatment of the industry. With pro-crypto voices like Trump, RFK Jr., and Vivek Ramaswamy gaining influence, the stage is set for significant regulatory shifts in the United States. The question now is: will this pave the way for crypto-friendly legislation and the much-speculated U.S. Bitcoin Reserve? As Bitcoin teeters near $100K, this development only adds to the bullish momentum surrounding the space.

Altcoin Super Season: The Next Big Play

If Bitcoin hitting $100K seems wild, imagine what that does for altcoins. Historically, retail investors flood into altcoins once Bitcoin seems “too expensive,” and this cycle is no different. The potential for outsized gains in altcoins is astronomical. Key indicators:

• Bitcoin Dominance: While Bitcoin’s dominance remains strong, we’re seeing early signs of a shift, which typically precedes altcoin season.

• Altcoin Season Timing: December looks primed to kick off a super season for altcoins, similar to what we saw in early 2021.

• Cardano’s Breakout: ADA is nearing critical resistance levels, and its ecosystem is booming with new TVL highs. The long-term fundamentals, like Bitcoin OS integration and partnerships with Ripple and Stellar, make Cardano a top contender for this cycle.

The Case for $3M Bitcoin

Could Bitcoin hit $3M? It sounds outrageous, but it’s not as far-fetched as you might think. Here’s the math:

• Reserve Asset Status: If Bitcoin becomes a modest 2% of global central bank reserves, models project a $3M price point by 2050.

• Gold Replacement: With discussions around the U.S. converting gold reserves into Bitcoin, the upside potential is staggering. Bitcoin at gold’s current $18T market cap puts BTC at over $900,000 per coin.

This isn’t happening overnight, but the seeds are being planted for a monumental shift in how the world views Bitcoin.

Dogecoin’s Successor? Enter DOG

The meme coin narrative has a new contender: DOG, the #1 meme coin on Bitcoin. DOG is making waves, nearing a $1B market cap without tier-one exchange listings. Once those listings begin rolling out, DOG could easily 50-100x, flipping its competition and solidifying itself as a major player. Stay tuned for more news about the floodgates of Bitcoin liquidity opening up as well.

Prepare for Volatility

While the charts and headlines scream bullish, let’s not forget that crypto’s path is never linear. Expect dips, consolidations, and wild volatility along the way. But the macro trends are clear: we’re at the start of something historic.

If you’re not already positioned for this, now is the time to prepare. Bitcoin, Cardano, DOG—these are the narratives driving the market. The opportunities are immense, but staying level-headed and focused is key.

Final Thoughts

As we near the end of 2024, the market feels eerily similar to the early stages of previous bull runs. The fundamentals are stronger, the narratives more powerful, and the upside potential unprecedented. Stay grounded, zoom out, and stick to your plan.

If you enjoyed this update, share your thoughts and projections. Are you ready for the next leg up?

Stay tuned, and as always, God bless. 🙏

If you’re not subscribed yet, what are you waiting for? Turn on notifications, smash that like button, and let’s navigate this epic crypto journey together. 🚀

It doesn’t matter if Bitcoin is currently trading at $90,000, $70,000, or even lower when you read this—what matters is having a plan. The crypto market is at a pivotal moment, marked by the collision of two powerful forces: the macro-level bullish momentum and the inevitable dips along the way. This article aims to highlight the importance of preparing for these dynamics and why now is the time to solidify your strategy.

The Two Forces Colliding

1. The Macro Bullish Environment
   We are witnessing the onset of what could be a parabolic bull run for Bitcoin and crypto. This is a phase we’ve seen in previous cycles, but the magnitude of the current bullish sentiment is unprecedented. Institutional interest is growing rapidly, governments are warming up to crypto, and bullish developments like ETF approvals and potential tax reforms are setting the stage. Michael Saylor’s philosophy captures this perfectly—when others hesitate, those with vision build bridges, demonstrating the strength of the foundation. His company, MicroStrategy, just smashed records with a $4.6 billion Bitcoin buy, illustrating the confidence in crypto’s future.

2. The Reality of Volatility
   Bull markets don’t rise in a straight line. Along the way, there will be significant dips—20%, 30%, or more—that can shake even seasoned investors. Historical data shows how these pullbacks occur during massive upward trends. Whether it's Bitcoin or altcoins like ADA, the volatility is part of the journey. For instance, in previous cycles, ADA saw explosive growth followed by sharp corrections. These patterns are natural, but without a plan, they can lead to poor decision-making.

Why a Plan Matters Now More Than Ever

As the market heats up, it’s easy to get caught up in the excitement and hype. Social media is buzzing, green candles dominate the charts, and everyone seems to be riding the wave. But this is exactly why having a clear, actionable plan is critical.

A plan ensures you remain grounded during the dips and the surges. It’s not about reacting to emotions in the moment but following a pre-determined strategy:

• Set price targets for buying and selling.

• Decide how to handle dips—are they buying opportunities or signals to hold steady?

• Allocate percentages to long-term holdings vs. short-term trades.

This is especially relevant now, as the broader context suggests an extraordinary cycle ahead. With the incoming administration showing pro-Bitcoin leanings and institutions preparing for a supply shock, the potential for growth is immense. However, this bullish macro environment will amplify the volatility, making preparation even more crucial.

Lessons from Previous Cycles

Looking back at 2017 and 2021, the charts tell a story of sharp climbs followed by sudden pullbacks. Bitcoin dominance, altcoin surges, and market sentiment all play a role. For example, in January 2021, Bitcoin saw a 30% dip after a massive rally. ADA followed a similar trajectory, with explosive gains followed by corrections. Understanding these patterns allows us to anticipate what might come next.

Why Now is the Time to Act

We are still early in the cycle. Bitcoin dominance is shifting, and altcoin season is not yet in full swing. There’s time to strategize and plan. Whether Bitcoin is at $70,000 or $90,000, the key is not the current price but how you position yourself for the journey ahead.

Michael Saylor’s vision of building confidence in Bitcoin applies to us as investors. The bridge has been built; now it’s time to decide how we’ll cross it. Will we act with foresight, or will we react to the volatility without a plan?

Your Call to Action

Take time now to:

1. Review your portfolio.

2. Set realistic targets for both gains and pullbacks.

3. Prepare for volatility without losing sight of the long-term picture.

The question isn’t whether you’ll succeed in this cycle—it’s whether you’re prepared to capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the challenges.

Let me know: Do you have a plan? You don’t have to share the details, but I’d love to hear your thoughts. Together, we can make the most of this pivotal moment in crypto.

Thank you for reading and watching, and God bless!

Last week was absolutely insane for crypto. It was one of those weeks where you step back and think, "This is why we’ve been here all along." So much happened, and the excitement isn’t slowing down anytime soon.

Let’s dive into a quick recap of last week’s highlights and set the stage for what to watch this week.

🚀 Bitcoin: The Market Leader Breaking New Ground

Bitcoin’s dominance has been a major driver, hitting key levels and sparking excitement across the board. With a historic inverse head-and-shoulders pattern breaking out on Bitcoin, we’re officially in price discovery mode.

Here’s what’s critical:

• Overextension from Moving Averages: Bitcoin is around 30% overextended from the 50-day moving average, historically signaling potential pullbacks or at least consolidations, which it has been doing nicely for now.

• Price Milestones: $90K seems a critical psychological area, and every $10K from here really feels monumental.

Even if Bitcoin dips back into the $70Ks, that’s not a sign of weakness—it’s a chance for the market to reset and build momentum for the next leg up. Important to note that this would be a normal technical move for Bitcoin.

🌕 Altcoins: The Sonic Boom is Near

Altcoins are heating up, with some massive moves already underway. The Total Crypto Market Cap (Excluding BTC and ETH) just posted a huge weekly candle, hinting at the START of an altcoin boom.

Cardano (ADA) and Dog (DOG) deserve special mention. These two have ended up my top plays for this bull cycle, and the data speaks for itself:

• ADA: Breaking above its 20- and 50-week moving averages, with a setup that’s eerily similar to the early days of the 2020 bull run. This is looking incredibly strong for the months ahead.

  

• DOG: Like it or not, DOG has proven its ability to over-perform during altcoin seasons. Keep an eye on the charts—it’s gearing up for some major moves. As the first and largest memecoin on Bitcoin, and in Bitcoin’s first cycle having memecoins, there is no telling how high this can go.

  

These are more than speculative plays—they’re projects with narratives that align with this cycle’s momentum, in a way like I’ve never seen.

🔍 This Week: What to Watch

1. Bitcoin Dominance: Will it hold its current levels or start to drop, signaling altcoin season?

2. Altcoin Market Cap: A breakout above $720B could ignite the “sonic boom” we’ve been anticipating.

   

3. Key Support Levels: For Bitcoin, $76K-$77K is the area to watch if we see consolidation.

4. Momentum Oscillators: The RSI and MACD are still showing strength, but keep an eye out for bearish divergences as we climb higher.

Transparency Moment

I’ve been transparent in sharing my focus for this cycle, and I’ll say it again: ADA and DOG are leading the way for me. These aren’t the only plays I’m watching, but they’re the ones where I feel the strongest. It’s an absolute no-brainer for me.

The charts look good, the narratives are aligning, and the setups couldn’t be clearer. Of course, this isn’t financial advice—always do your own research—but I’m excited about where these projects are headed.

This is one of those moments in crypto where it feels like we’ve been waiting years for everything to come together. And here we are.

Thanks for being part of this journey, and as always, let me know your thoughts.

Please consider a paid subscription for exclusive content! It also helps & motivates me to put out as much content as I can!

God Bless!
– Dan

This newsletter explores the bigger picture, focusing on the macro moves and the micro stories shaping the market. From Bitcoin dominance and altcoin narratives to the headline-grabbing DOG—the meme coin on Bitcoin, there’s plenty to unpack.

Let’s dive in.

Altcoin Market: The Cycle Setup

We’re seeing the first signs of a breakout in the total altcoin market cap, following months of consolidation. Bitcoin dominance remains high but is showing bearish divergence on the weekly RSI, a strong historical indicator of altcoin season. If patterns hold, December could mark the tipping point for altcoins to outperform Bitcoin.

While it’s essential to stay cautious amid volatility, the setup for altcoins like ADA and DOG is compelling. Both are positioned to play significant roles in this bull market.

Bitcoin’s Momentum: The Macro View

The narratives surrounding Bitcoin are unprecedented:

• Bitcoin Reserve Act: Senator Cynthia Lummis’ proposal for the U.S. to acquire 1 million BTC over five years could cement Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.

• Global Ripple Effect: Trump’s pro-crypto stance may prompt other nations, like China, to revisit their crypto policies to stay competitive.

• Institutional Onboarding: ETFs and stablecoin innovations are making headlines as pathways for capital to flow into the crypto ecosystem.

Bitcoin’s technical setup suggests room for significant upside, with speculative targets in the $120,000 to $150,000 range by 2025.

Cardano (ADA): Quiet Strength in a Bull Market

Cardano has emerged as a foundational blockchain for trustless DeFi and governance systems, with recent speculation linking ADA to federal blockchain initiatives under the incoming U.S. administration.

Key developments:

• Charles Hoskinson’s Role: Advisory support for Trump’s crypto policies.

• Partnership Potential: Rumors of collaborations with SpaceX and integration into voting and identity verification systems.

• Index Inclusion: ADA is now a top-five component in the NYSE’s crypto index fund.

Chart Analysis: ADA is consolidating after a strong breakout, hovering around $0.80.

The structure remains bullish, but dips and consolidation are expected in the short term.

DOG: The Meme Coin Supercycle Leader

DOG, the first meme coin on Bitcoin, is rewriting the rules of meme coin economics. Unlike typical meme coins reliant on influencer-driven hype, DOG’s free and fair distribution makes it a standout.

Why DOG Matters:

1. Bitcoin Integration: DOG leverages Bitcoin’s security and scalability, making it a unique player in the meme coin market.

2. Community Power: The DOG army is driving unprecedented engagement. Kraken’s announcement of DOG perpetual futures garnered 5,000+ likes, far outpacing other listings.

3. Upside Potential: DOG is hovering around $500M market cap, but comparisons to Dogecoin and Shiba Inu suggest 10x to 50x upside is within reach this cycle.

Bull Case:

• If DOG captures just 3% of Bitcoin’s market cap, it would reach a $52B valuation.

• At 9% of Bitcoin’s market cap—similar to Shiba Inu’s peak relative to Ethereum—DOG could hit $550B, representing a 1,000x gain.

Chart Analysis:
DOG’s current market cap mirrors Dogecoin’s position post-2020 elections. A conservative target of $10B (20x from today) aligns with historical meme coin trends, while $25B (50x) remains plausible if tier-one spot listings materialize.

Final Thoughts: Stay Grounded Amid the Green

The crypto market is in its early stages of a bull run, but it’s essential to remain disciplined. As portfolios grow, take a moment to reflect on your goals. Remember, markets move in cycles, and even the strongest assets face pullbacks.

Key takeaways:

• Plan your exits: Avoid the trap of holding through every cycle peak.

• Focus on fundamentals: Meme coins like DOG and layer-1 ecosystems like Cardano are rooted in narratives that could sustain value beyond the hype.

• Stay humble: The journey is long, and overconfidence can lead to mistakes.

Let me know your thoughts, and be sure to subscribe for more insights. Together, we’ll navigate this bull market, one step at a time.

Thanks and God Bless,

Dan

1. Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Season Timing

Bitcoin dominance has been testing significant resistance areas, with levels reminiscent of previous cycle setups for altcoin season. Historically, when Bitcoin reaches these heights on the dominance chart, it’s a signal that altcoins could soon shine. Last cycle, it was around this exact period that we saw altcoins begin a powerful rally as Bitcoin dominance eased. While we might still be about 30 days out from the full momentum, the pieces are aligning

2. Multi-Year Technical Patterns Confirm a Bullish Outlook

On the technical side, Bitcoin has been performing impressively on both daily and weekly charts. We’re seeing the formation of a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern—a multi-year setup that suggests a major move is imminent. Historically, this type of setup signals a potential breakout, with price targets stretching as high as $130,000 to $300,000. But remember, there will likely be consolidations and potential dips. This may sound crazy to some, but if Bitcoin tests lower support areas in the $70k’s or the neckline, it’s not a sign of weakness but a chance to build momentum for the next move.

3. Market Sentiment: Greed Is Here, But This Is Only the Start

The Fear and Greed Index is inching toward extreme greed, sparking comparisons to past market tops. But in bull markets, this index can stay in the greed zone for months. In fact, as we saw in the last cycle, it’s common for brief periods of profit-taking to be followed by renewed buying. This pattern of quick de-leveraging and continued higher highs is what defines parabolic bull cycles. While there may be pullbacks, they’re likely to be short-lived, providing potential buying opportunities.

4. Institutional and Political Momentum

Recent political shifts are sparking new optimism for crypto. The Trump administration's plans to support crypto-friendly policies could bring unprecedented clarity and institutional support to the market. Figures like Charles Hoskinson may even take on advisory roles, which could make the regulatory landscape far more favorable than in past cycles (BULLISH FOR ADA). Combined with the Bitcoin ETF inflows and the ongoing shift of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, these factors create an environment where the demand for Bitcoin could drive prices to multiple new highs oer the course of the next year.

5. The Supply Shock Dynamic

The underlying supply shock in Bitcoin—halving the new supply every four years—is doing its job. We are seeing early signs of the supply-demand squeeze, with long-term holders refusing to sell below $100,000 and short sellers increasingly wary of stepping in. The supply shock is the fundamental backbone of each cycle, and it’s playing out again this year, with institutional interest yet to fully arrive.

What’s Next?

Be prepared for some turbulence, especially as Bitcoin’s price climbs and consolidates. Short-term throwbacks and 10-15% dips may be part of the journey, but if history is any guide, these should serve as stepping stones in a larger trend upward. For altcoin holders, patience could soon pay off, with the potential for explosive moves as Bitcoin stabilizes and Bitcoin dominance pulls back.

Let’s stay vigilant and remember that while excitement is high, there’s always room for calculated caution. Dips may be sudden, but the overall trend appears unstoppable. This moment may very well go down as one of those "it was so obvious all along" periods in crypto history.

Keep watching the charts, and as always, stay prepared and keep a level head. It’s going to be a wild ride.

God bless,
Dan Gambardello

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No More Capital Gains Tax on Bitcoin?

One of the biggest crypto shakeups Trump is bringing to the table: the idea of no capital gains tax on Bitcoin and U.S.-made tokens.

Trump has really come around to Bitcoin. Just look at his recent post before winning the election.

Trump’s recent proposal to eliminate capital gains taxes on Bitcoin and U.S.-made tokens has stirred excitement in the crypto community. Here is one reason it’s so huge. Right now, if you buy Bitcoin, hold it, and then sell it at a profit, you’re hit with a capital gains tax on that profit. Trump’s proposal would remove that tax entirely, meaning you could buy, hold, and sell Bitcoin—keeping every dollar of profit tax-free. For crypto investors, that’s a monumental shift.

Imagine not having to pay tax on your Bitcoin profits. This isn’t just a financial win; it’s a move that could draw even more interest and investment into the crypto space.

Everyday Transactions: Tax-Free Bitcoin Payments?

Trump’s plan applies foundational to everyday transactions. Imagine using Bitcoin to buy a coffee or shop online without triggering any tax event. Currently, even small purchases made with Bitcoin involve capital gains tax on any price increase since you bought it. This new proposal would let you use Bitcoin as true digital cash, without the tax burden.

The Bigger Picture: Deregulation in Action

Adding fuel to the fire, Elon Musk is heading up the Department of Government Efficiency with a mission to streamline and reduce red tape. This drive for deregulation means a friendlier landscape for crypto, tech, and innovation in general. A less restrictive, more open market could position the U.S. as a global hub for blockchain and crypto.

Key takeaway: Less regulation + no tax barriers = fertile ground for the next crypto wave.

The Bullish Case: Crypto’s New Era in the U.S.

This combination of tax breaks and deregulation could put the U.S. back on the map as a crypto-friendly environment. Instead of companies setting up shop in Singapore or Switzerland, we could see them flock to the U.S. And for investors, it’s an opportunity to grow wealth in a more flexible, tax-friendly way.

Bottom Line: The pieces are coming together for a potentially bullish crypto future. Like, very bullish. With no capital gains tax on Bitcoin and Musk cutting red tape, the stage is set for something big. Expect ripple effects that could kickstart the next bull run.

Stay tuned for more insights on this new era in crypto.

God Bless!

With the U.S. presidential election only a day away, it’s time to take a serious look at what this could mean for the crypto markets—not just in the short term, but potentially for months to come. If you’ve been following the narrative, you know that crypto speculators have been pouring billions into prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. But it’s not just about who wins; it's about what happens after the ballots are counted.

The Unthinkable Scenario: A Split Verdict?

Mike Alfred hit the nail on the head when he recently posted on X: “There is one election night outcome NO ONE is talking about: Fox News declares Trump winner and CNN simultaneously declares Harris winner. This unprecedented rift... would send BTC ballistic as the world's best decentralized system.”

Now, think about this: a split in mainstream media calls could lead to weeks or even months of legal battles, political bickering, and sheer chaos. Both sides digging in their heels, neither conceding—this is the kind of uncertainty that traditional markets dread, but it’s also where crypto often finds its most unexpected narrative.

What Could This Mean for Bitcoin?

To add fuel to this speculative fire, Crypto Rover pointed out, “The last time Trump won the U.S. election, #Bitcoin pumped +2,714%. If history repeats, #Bitcoin will be worth $2 MILLION by 2025.” While those numbers may sound audacious, they underscore an important point: elections have been catalysts for BTC in the past.

• 2012: Bitcoin surged 12,000% in the year following the election.

• 2016: BTC jumped around 3,000% after Trump’s win.

• 2020: The post-election rally saw Bitcoin climb 478% amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Each time, Bitcoin has surged after the election dust settled. But here's the twist: all those events had relatively clear outcomes, even if the political landscape was turbulent. This time, we could be facing a period where clarity is in short supply.

An Era of Prolonged Uncertainty

The idea that we might wake up on November 6 with conflicting declarations—Fox News calling a Trump win and CNN siding with Harris—shouldn't be dismissed as mere speculation. This would create a climate of heightened anxiety, not just for the public but for investors as well. The longer the dispute drags on, the more fuel it adds to an already volatile fire.

Markets don’t like unknowns, and a drawn-out battle over the legitimacy of the election could shake confidence in traditional financial systems. Enter Bitcoin: decentralized, borderless, and increasingly seen as a hedge against political dysfunction. If we find ourselves in a standoff with no clear outcome, BTC could rally as people look for a safe haven.

Expect Volatility—And Opportunity

If there’s one thing to brace for, it’s the kind of volatility that can shake weak hands out of the market. Prediction platforms might offer a glimpse of sentiment, but as Michael Cahill from Douro Labs pointed out, “Your average voter isn’t spending time or money on prediction markets – those platforms are being dominated by crypto-native users, and those users are voting for Trump.”

So while billions in bets might suggest one narrative, it’s the aftermath that will write the real story. Should the election spiral into months of courtroom drama and political theater, BTC could become the escape route for those looking to navigate through a new age of prolonged uncertainty.

Either way…ZOOM OUT!

Stay sharp, stay informed, and get ready for what might be one of the most unpredictable periods in crypto history.

God bless!

As we step into a crucial week, it’s impossible to ignore the excitement in the air. With the U.S. elections just two days away, all eyes are on how the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin, could respond. If history has taught us anything, it’s that post-election periods have historically been strong catalysts for Bitcoin's surge into parabolic movements. In my recent videos, I've delved deep into this trend, connecting past cycles with our current setup. Here’s what we need to consider as we prepare for what could be a historic week.

Anticipating Bitcoin's All-Time High

In my analysis last week, I highlighted how Bitcoin's momentum, paired with a pretty cool AI-driven prediction, suggests a potential all-time high within a tight window after the elections. Historically, Bitcoin has taken 5 to 12 days post-election to break its previous high, with an average of 8 days. This data, drawn from past cycles in 2012, 2016, and 2020, supports the idea that we could witness a new all-time high as soon as mid-November. The unique aspect this time? Bitcoin is the closest it's ever been to its all-time high going into an election cycle, thanks to its pre-halving momentum. This makes the potential for an explosive move all the more real.

The Bigger Picture – Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Season

Zooming out on the macro cycle, we’re at a make-or-break moment. The consistency of Bitcoin's four-year cycle data is under scrutiny, but so far, it holds strong. This past week, I highlighted the importance of Bitcoin dominance charts and how they’re playing out in line with previous cycles. One key difference now? The presence of Bitcoin ETFs and their impact on liquidity and market dynamics. While Bitcoin dominance approaches a critical Fibonacci level, the setup hints at a potential transition to altcoin season—a phase where altcoins historically shine as Bitcoin stabilizes or pulls back.

Bitcoin Nears All-Time High – Be Ready for Volatility

Bitcoin’s recent surge brought it within 2% of its all-time high. But with this momentum comes the reminder of how volatile these markets can be. I revisited the lessons from past cycles, showing how sudden dips and throwbacks to moving averages are not just possible—they’re likely. I emphasized the need for a plan and level-headedness as we approach what could be the start of a parabolic phase. In these times, taking a breath, staying unemotional, and sticking to a well-thought-out profit strategy is key.

Excitement Builds for Cardano and Meme Coins

Most recently as many altcoins still wait to make their moves, my thoughts turned to Cardano and DOG—the top meme coin on Bitcoin—which are fueling a new narrative of early-stage growth. The way these projects are positioned as we enter the potential bull cycle makes them especially intriguing. Cardano, paired with Bitcoin, could be set to transform the crypto market into a multi-trillion-dollar financial system, while DOG could channel early Dogecoin and Shiba Inu vibes. These two just excite me.

Takeaways as We Head into Election Week

As we close this week and brace for the next, here are a few points to keep in mind:

• Election Catalyst: Historically, elections have been a turning point for Bitcoin. The data points to a possible move to all-time highs within 5-12 days post-election.

• Volatility Watch: Short-term volatility is in play. Expect the unexpected with potential dips, and stay prepared with a profit-taking plan that fits your goals.

• Altcoin Potential: With Bitcoin nearing peak dominance, eyes should be on altcoins. Their potential to outperform as Bitcoin stabilizes is something I’ll be tracking closely.

• ETF and Liquidity Factors: The unique presence of Bitcoin ETFs this cycle adds an extra layer of interest, potentially accelerating upward moves and influencing dominance patterns.

As we step into the post-election week, remember that preparation and patience are key. If Bitcoin's historical data holds true, we could be in for a game-changing few weeks.

Thank you for being part of this journey. Stay tuned, stay informed, and as always, God bless.

- Dan

This is going to be a fun video, speculating, talking about taking profits. What does it look like? It doesn't matter what crypto you're holding for this video, but we're going to use ADA as a very simple example. And if you're watching this on YouTube, I appreciate you watching. This is first being released on sub stack, so I'm going to release this tonight, but I have this sub stack newsletter right now, there's, it's free newsletter, and there's no paywall. We're approaching 1000 subscribers. I'm still trying to figure out how I want to handle the sub stack, but I want to have some fun with really releasing, kind of just a different dynamic of videos. And we're going to, we're going to start with, kind of this one on, on the newsletter, and it is about taking profits so everybody, it's just this time of the cycle. It's this time of the cycle. And before we even talk about speculating, and we look at what exit gains might look like, taking profits, what it might look like. And we really run numbers, I have to start by saying something. The first thing, I mean, this is, for me, the starting point in visualizing this and planning this is to understand, accept and be comfortable with if it doesn't happen. We can't sit here and just be like, You know what? We know it's gonna happen. We're getting a repeat what if this cycle? It doesn't it's always the it's always the question. You all know, if you watch my content, I'm so bullish. I am so bullish on crypto. I think it's so early right now. I think, I think we're going to get a repeat maybe it doesn't play out exactly how we're all thinking. I'm very bullish, but I can't sit here and just 100% say that this is going to happen. We have to be prepared for everything, and that is the starting point, because we're about to speculate, and it might get hard to speculate, because it's like, man, is this for real? When you, when you start speculating with your portfolio, and you're seeing, you see the potential for gains, just bring in that excitement, put away the emotion, and just understand there's no guarantees. That's the starting point. And then as we start speculating, it's about understanding that the key to this, and I'm just saying this from experience, what I've learned, the key to this, taking profits in crypto, is you absolutely have to have a plan. And this is why I built a spreadsheet. It's why I like it. It's so simple that this is nothing. This is not the most beautiful spreadsheet, but it helps me visualize and have a plan. Because if there's no plan, then it will be just so easy just to fall into the emotional aspect of crypto, it will be almost impossible to press that sell button have a plan. So let's do it so very simply on the ADA chart. You can do this on other charts. I'll probably do this on for dog. I'm extremely excited about dog. That's going to be fun. One to talk about speculating on, on taking profits. But here's where we are in the cycle compared to last cycle, right around here, right? Don't know if it's going to break out, you know, sooner later, but let's just speculate that we get the breakout eventually. And let's just conservatively, for the sake of this video, let's take it to like a five to $7 Ada, that's not my price prediction, everybody. But for this spreadsheet, it just, it's just a very simple kind of range to work with in speculating. And here's, what it looks like for me. And this is, I haven't really done this yet for myself, but I'm going to probably do this soon so I can have the plan, and the plan will likely be tweaked as we enter any type of bull market, as things are, you know, as as records are broken or price points are broken. But this is a great starting point to start visualizing. So let's say, for this scenario, I think a very simple number is 100,000 Ada, a very simple, clean number to work with, and just put this on the spreadsheet. So as you see, we have 100,000 Ada, we have a sale section, and we have an how much ADA is left section and a profits, profit section. So 80 cents, let's just say, You know what, you think eight is going way higher than 80 cents. But you're like, I just need a little bit. I just need to get those, those cell fingers warmed up. It'll be nice to take any type of profit. And maybe you're like, you know, gonna just sell 5000 and many of you might be like, that's just, why would you do that? That's not worth it. But I'm just saying there needs to be a point where you get your sale finger fingers warmed up to just, just to be like, You know what? I'm selling a little. And by the way, the starting point as well for this, I think, is a very important if you have 100,000 ADA, the question you should ask yourself, how much ADA do I want left at the end of the bull cycle, and if we're about to go into another bear cycle, a multi year consolidation, how much ADA Do you want left? Or how much ADA Do you want to take at the top of the bull market or the beginning of the bear and put into Bitcoin? How do you want to handle that? How much ADA Do you want sitting in these markets? Even if you move it to Bitcoin. So let's say for this scenario, let's just say we want to have $50,000 50,000 ADA left. So there's our sale of 5000 ADA. Eight is breaking $1 and you're just kind of like, you know what? You're looking at the chart, yeah, you got your ADA sales fingers warmed up, and eight is at $1 but you're looking at the chart, and you're just like, You know what, the market is? Just really good. We're so early in the cycle, I think it's going strongly higher. You're going to skip the dollar 20 sale on here. You're going to get to $2 and you're going to be like, you know, I'm not even going to do that. I'm going to, I'm going to wait till 220 and I'm going to sell. I'm actually going to sell 15,000 Ada, $37,000 right there sold total. So we have a $33,000 sale, a $4,000 sale. And then we're, you know, we still have 80,000 Ada, left, right? And you're like, you know what? Eight is going to all time high. I'm skipping the 270, at 325, I'm, I'm actually not even going to sell there. At 350 I'm gonna sell 10,000 Ada, and right there you're at $72,000 total sold. You have 70,000 Ada, left. Eight is cruising. Eight of crushes $4 you're like, I'm waiting till five. That five to $7 range, you're checking the chart. You're checking the markets. This five to $7 range is becoming pretty, interesting to you. And you're like, just over five, I'm selling another 10. And then just over, you know, at seven, I'm going to sell another 10,000 so here you are. You sold 50,000 ADA. On, on in the bull run, you have 50,000 ADA left, which, by the way, and this is important, as you're as you're actually speculating these things, you'll realize, wow, okay, at this level, there's gonna still be this much sitting there at $7 if eight is at $7 you're gonna have and you have $50,000 left. You sold $194,000 but you still have sitting in the markets, $350,000 so as we're even just speculating. This is, like, just off the top of my mind as we're speculating, and you're realizing things like that, you're going to be, you're going to tweak your your plan, right? You might go heavier on the last half of this and and less on on the beginning, kind of being like, you know what? I'm getting rid of that this, these sales at the beginning of, you know, 80 cents. Why would I do that? 220 Why would I do that? And now we're in this scenario where you can go a little bit heavier on the on the last half of it, or even starting at 270 maybe you want to take your first $20,000 sale, right? So there, this is what it looks like now. And you're not selling until 270 approaching all time high, but you're still leaving a bunch left, right, and a total of 211,000 sold. You sell 50,000 Ada, left, maybe, maybe you're looking at the scenario you're like, you know what? I'd be good selling 70,000 Aden, not, not just 50,000 but this spreadsheet helps you start just really exercising that take profit side of your brain and the selling side of your brain. I don't know what your, you know, accumulation of ADA, or any of crypto you've, you've been holding looks like, but you know, there's going to be people that have probably, maybe, maybe they're brand new in Ada, and they're just, like, right here they got in. They're like, You know what? I'm just, I've been accumulating ADA. I just, it makes sense. I think it's going to do well in the bull market. 34 cents is, like, my average. I have 100,000 Adas, like $34,000 in. Ada, maybe that's somebody. Maybe you're out there and you're like, Dude, I I like, I was, like, trying to buy the bounce back here at $1.20 and I just, I've been averaging in ever since then. My average is like, you know, 80 cents. Or maybe it's, maybe it's maybe you bought down here, your average is 25 cents. I don't know what your situation is, but either way, everybody's different. But when you start just everybody, no matter where you are, on this scale, everybody can use a spreadsheet like this. Everybody can use a plan like this, because it's simply a visualization exercise, that the plan can be changed, but it's visualization exercise. And what's meaningful for you in terms of taking profits, how does it impact your life? All of our lives are different. Everybody, all of our lives are different. And so the way in which we take profits and what's really actual, actually meaningful to us, is going to be different, but it is. It is best to be prepared, because these markets, and especially a bull market, if you, I don't know, if you look at a chart, the first thing I notice is how fast the bull market is, and then how quick it's over, and then how long it is until the next one. You look at a Bitcoin chart, it's very, very clear on those charts. If you look at the cycles of Bitcoin, it's like four years, four year cycles. Three of those years are just down or sideways, this, this, this will go fast, this bull market, if we get it right. So these are my thoughts, completely speculative. Of this is a very random out of nowhere video, but I wanted to start kind of having this conversation again. I'm going to have more conversations about this with maybe just more more opinion, different aspects. I said I wanted to do one on dog. Definitely will do one on dog. Can talk a little bit about Bitcoin as well. So I'm going to be talking about this more. I know there's a lot of you that are thinking about this, taking profits, what it looks like, how to do it. And these are my thoughts. I keep it simple. This is this is simple, and this is how, this is the way my mind works. I don't like to over complicate things. If I can't keep it simple and succeed from a simple plan, then you know, how am I going to succeed from just using some type of crazy, crazy too, in depth of a plan. This is a simple plan, and that's that's just how I operate in in investments, in business, in everything. So these are my thoughts. I appreciate you. If you're out there watching, if you're in the newsletter, pretty sure most of you aren't commenting on sub stack newsletters, but if you're on YouTube, feel free to comment whenever I post this. But yeah, I appreciate you watching. Hit the subscribe and I will see you in the next one. God bless.

This Week’s Key Narrative: Bitcoin Under the Microscope

On the macro scale, Bitcoin is in a tight spot. With Bitcoin ETF inflows now surpassing $20 billion—ten times what gold ETFs saw in their first year—there’s clear momentum. But don’t be fooled by the recent price dips; they’re only a small piece of this massive picture. The approaching U.S. election on November 5 marks a significant milestone historically tied to “up-only” post-election cycles. When we zoom out, these cycles show higher highs, and with the ongoing consolidation, Bitcoin appears to be on the cusp of something big.

Historical Patterns and Election Week: The Bullish Setup

Looking back, the data paints an intriguing picture. In 2012, 2016, and 2020, Bitcoin saw a period of higher highs and lows after elections, suggesting that we’re now on the edge of a breakout move. Previous election cycles show similar trends: volatility just before the election, followed by a rally that kicked off parabolic bull cycles. This confluence of historical patterns with the current trendline setup adds weight to the anticipation.

What’s exciting here is that institutional inflows, combined with the timing of the Bitcoin cycle, might just be primed for something more bullish than we’ve ever seen before. These large flows and the macro momentum indicators—like the weekly MACD shift and green histogram—hint at strength on a scale we don’t usually witness at this point in the cycle.

Zooming into the Short-Term: Support Levels & Potential Moves

For those looking at the immediate horizon, here’s the deal. Bitcoin’s weekly chart support ranges between $62K and $65K, with the 20-week moving average offering solid historical backing. If Bitcoin dips to this level, it could signal a buy-the-dip moment as we lead into the parabolic cycle.

Here’s where things get even more interesting. On November 5, Bitcoin could break above a key trendline—a move reminiscent of previous cycles. If we see history repeat, this breakout could mark the beginning of an “up-only” mode for Bitcoin, which would align with the election timeline and the potential for new highs.

Beyond Bitcoin: Macro Trends & Economic Shifts

Economic factors will likely add volatility over the coming days. The U.S. dollar is overbought and near a possible retracement level, which could create room for risk-on assets like Bitcoin to rally. We’re also keeping an eye on gold; it’s pulling back from all-time highs, which historically aligns with crypto upswings. As these macro forces play out, this setup feels increasingly bullish for Bitcoin.

My Take: Prepare for What’s Ahead

This week’s setup doesn’t come around often. It’s a volatile time, and while nobody knows what is next, the data here is compelling. For those of us committed to the long-term, this is one of those moments that brings every four-year cycle back into focus. A word to the like-minded: Keep that zoomed-out perspective sharp, because history might just be getting ready to rhyme.

As always, thank you for following along. Drop a comment on YouTube if you’re tracking these markets with me, or here on my newsletter—let’s keep the discussion rolling. And if you haven’t subscribed, now’s the time. It’s only going to get more interesting from here.

God Bless!

Dan

What just happened? Cardano has officially unlocked the door to Bitcoin’s $1.3 trillion market cap, and this is about to shake the very foundation of decentralized finance (DeFi) as we know it.

Here’s the big deal:

Cardano, through a strategic collaboration between EMURGO and BitcoinOS, has just made trustless Bitcoin (BTC) available to its entire ecosystem. This isn’t some speculative hype—this is real integration using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography to make sure your BTC can move seamlessly and securely into the Cardano DeFi world, all without intermediaries. That’s right, no more relying on centralized entities to bridge these two major blockchains.

Why this matters:

For the first time, Cardano dApps will be able to leverage the liquidity of Bitcoin in a trustless manner. This is a critical milestone that doesn’t just benefit Cardano—it brings Bitcoin, the king of cryptocurrencies, into the world of smart contracts and decentralized applications. Cardano will serve as the smart contract layer for Bitcoin, giving BTC capabilities it never had before, while staying true to its decentralized ethos.

Here’s the bottom line: Bitcoin can now use smart contracts, verify transactions, and interact with other blockchains. It’s all happening right now, thanks to the BOS Grail bridge and ZK-based BitSNARK verification protocol. This is the foundation for true interoperability.

Why Cardano?

We’ve always known that Cardano is built on scientific rigor and peer-reviewed research, but now we’re seeing the real-world impact of that vision. Over 1,370 Web3 projects have already built on Cardano, and this is just the beginning. By bringing in Bitcoin’s liquidity, the Cardano ecosystem is about to explode with new opportunities for developers, users, and investors alike.

What’s next?

I think we’re about to witness a seismic shift. Bitcoin’s unmatched liquidity, paired with Cardano’s robust, decentralized infrastructure, is a recipe for innovation. We’ll start seeing new DeFi products, more secure protocols, and massive opportunities for growth across the entire crypto landscape.

And here’s the thing—this integration is just the start. Cardano was built for moments like this, where its technology and vision meet reality in ways that change the entire game.

Cardano and Bitcoin are bridging, and we’re on the brink of something massive.

Thanks for reading and God Bless!

Hey everyone,

Welcome to this week’s breakdown of the crypto markets, where we dive deep into Bitcoin's price action and the macro factors at play. If you’ve been following closely, you know we spend a lot of time zoomed out on these charts—focusing on the bigger picture, the cycles, the halving events, and the parabolic bull runs. But right now, we’re entering a key moment in the market cycle. Yes, Bitcoin’s dipping and crypto overall is facing short-term pressure, but this is the moment we’ve been waiting for. I’ve been tracking this since the 2018 bear market low, and if you’ve been with me since then, you know exactly how important this point in the cycle is.

This moment doesn’t come around often. We’ve been patiently waiting for years to reach this stage in the Bitcoin cycle, and now that we’re here, you better have your game plan ready. We’re so on track it’s not even funny.

Where We Are in the Bitcoin Cycle

Let’s take a step back and look at Bitcoin on the weekly chart. It’s crucial to remember that the long-term outlook has always been the key to success in this space. While the current dip may not feel great, it’s important to remember that we’re in the part of the cycle where things can shift dramatically—and quickly. I’ve been posting about this since the 2018 lows, and we’re now at a critical juncture that could define the next big move for Bitcoin.

I know it’s easy to get caught up in the short-term noise, but when you zoom out, you’ll see that this retrace is just another part of the cycle. Yes, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is pumping right now, but that’s actually a positive sign for the long-term trajectory of Bitcoin and crypto. The dollar is approaching overbought conditions, and this is something we’ve seen before.

The Dollar’s Role in Bitcoin’s Price Action

So, why is this important for Bitcoin? The DXY has a strong inverse correlation with Bitcoin and other risk-on assets like equities. When the dollar is strong, Bitcoin tends to struggle. But as the dollar approaches overbought conditions, the likelihood of a consolidation and retrace increases—and that’s the moment we’ve been waiting for.

Look at the momentum oscillators on the dollar. The MACD and RSI are both signaling overbought conditions, and every time we've seen this in the past, it’s followed by a pullback. The upcoming U.S. elections and all the uncertainty in the markets are fueling this dollar strength, but as we head into November, things will likely change.

In short, when the dollar finally tops out, we’ll be in a prime position for Bitcoin to begin its next leg up.

Why This Is the Perfect Setup for Bitcoin

Now, let’s talk about why this is actually good for Bitcoin, even if the short-term price action isn’t exciting. We’re seeing the dollar strength, but at the same time, we’re approaching a moment in the Bitcoin cycle where, historically, post-elections, the market shifts into overdrive. Every cycle we’ve tracked has followed this pattern, and I don’t think this one will be any different.

This is exactly what I’ve been highlighting since 2018. The setup is undeniable. Just take a look at the charts and you’ll see the confluence of factors all pointing to a breakout. Everything I’ve been discussing over the years—everything we’ve been preparing for—is in motion right now.

Gold is another factor we can’t ignore. It’s currently consolidating after hitting an all-time high, and similar to what we saw in the previous cycle, a retrace in gold could coincide with a breakout in Bitcoin. When you combine this with the technicals—like Bitcoin approaching the 20-week moving average and its MACD crossing into bullish territory—the timing just feels right.

The Upcoming Elections and Historical Patterns

With the U.S. elections just two weeks away, things are going to get volatile. But if history is any guide, we’re about to enter the “up-only” phase post-elections. This pattern has played out in every Bitcoin cycle since its inception, and while nothing is guaranteed, the data is overwhelmingly positive for a post-election Bitcoin rally.

So yes, we might see a bit more downside in the short term, but when the dust settles after November 5th, I believe we’ll see Bitcoin make its move.

This is what we’ve been waiting for. This is what I’ve been tracking for years, and we’re finally here.

Short-Term vs. Long-Term Outlook

The support area I’m watching closely is between $62,000 and $65,000. This is where Bitcoin could find its footing before making a stronger push higher. There’s no guarantee we’ll hold this level, but if we do, the setup is perfect for a parabolic move into 2024.

Yes, it’s tough to watch the price dip, but this is exactly where patience and perspective come in. Remember, the macro story hasn’t changed. We’ve been preparing for this for years, and everything we’re seeing right now—the dollar strength, the election cycle, and Bitcoin’s technical setup—points to a major move ahead.

Wrapping Up

At the end of the day, we’re in this for the long term. There will be volatility, but if we keep our eyes on the bigger picture, there’s a lot to be excited about. I’ll be here tracking the markets every step of the way, and I encourage all of you to stay patient and stay prepared.

This is the moment we’ve been talking about since 2018, and now we’re here. We’re so on track it’s not even funny.

As always, thanks for being here with me on this journey. If you’re not already subscribed, hit the subscribe button, share this newsletter, and let’s continue to stay ahead of the curve.

Take care, stay sharp, and God bless.